Doc’s Office: NFL 2018 – NFC East Team Totals

NFL 2018 NFC East Preview

 

Dallas Cowboys

Coaches:

Head Coach: Jason Garrett (8th year)

OC: Scott Linehan (5th year)

DC: Rod Marinelli (5th year)

Key Position Week 1 Starters (Projected):

QB: Dak Prescott

WR: Allen Hurns, Terrance Williams, Cole Beasley

RB1: Ezekiel Elliott

TE: Geoff Swaim

Key Player Changes:

Lost Dez Bryant, Jason Witten

Added Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin

Drafted Connor Williams G (likely to start)

Strength of Schedule:

19th

Schedule Break-down:

Favored in eight games

Nine games have a spread of +/- 3 points

Cowboys play 5 top 10 opponents and 4 bottom 10 opponents

Season win total:

Over 8.5 -110 / Under 8.5 -110

Doc’s Pick:

Under 8.5 -110

The Cowboys have done alarmingly little to succeed on offense. The WR corps might be one of the worst in the league and they use Elliott very little in the pass game compared to other RBs of his caliber. No matter how good Zeke and Dak are, they will need help. I don’t see nine wins on their schedule.

 

New York Giants

Coaches:

Head Coach: Pat Shurmur (1st year; was MIN OC)

OC: Mike Shula (1st year; was CAR OC)

DC: James Bettcher (1st year; was ARI DC)

Key Position Week 1 Starters (Projected):

QB: Eli Manning

WR: Odell Beckham Jr., Cody Latimer, Sterling Shepard

RB1: Saquon Barkley (rookie)

TE: Evan Engram

Key Player Changes:

OBJ comes back healthy and rested

Drafted Saquon Barkley 2nd overall and Will Hernandez G 34th overall

Signed William Gay CB, Cody Latimer WR, Alec Ogletree LB, Nate Solder LT

Strength of Schedule:

29th

Schedule Break-down:

Favored in three games (-3.5, -3, -3.5)

Underdog of 6 or more points in 6 games;

Giants play 5 top 10 opponents and 3 bottom 10 opponents

Season win total:

Over 7 -135 / Under 7 +115

Doc’s Pick:

Under 7 +115

I take this one with a bit of hesitation. I think 6-7 games is about right so I certainly can’t take the over with the -135 juice but I can see why you might be tempted. This coaching staff should be light years ahead of whatever that mess was that McAdoo was doing last year. They have a somewhat exciting offense with OBJ, Barkley and Engram if Manning can still get the ball down the field they should be fun to watch. They do play the 12th toughest schedule in terms of overall pass efficiency defenses which could hinder the fun a bit.

 

Philadelphia Eagles

Coaches:

Head Coach: Doug Pederson (3rd year)

OC: Mike Groh (1st year; was PHI WR) (Pederson will be calling plays)

DC: Jim Swartz (2nd year)

Key Position Week 1 Starters (Projected):

QB: Carson Wentz

WR: Alshon Jeffery, Mike Wallace, Nelson Algholor

RB1: Jay Ajayi

TE: Zach Ertz

Key Player Changes:

Added Michael Bennett DE, Haloti Ngata DT

Added Mike Wallace, Marcus Wheaton

Lost LeGarrette Blount

Strength of Schedule:

22nd

Schedule Break-down:

Favored in eleven games

Favored by 5 points or more in 7 games; underdog in two games (+2, +1)

Eagles play 5 top 10 opponents and 4 bottom 10 opponents

Season win total:

Over 10.5 +110 / Under 10.5 -130

Doc’s Pick:

Over 10.5 +110

No major offensive or defensive subtractions to the Eagles lineup this year makes me believe they can have similar success to last year. They may not win 13 again but I think they can win 11. Their average opponent ranks 20th in defensive efficiency which should allow the Eagles to move the ball without many hurdles.

 

Washington Redskins

Coaches:

Head Coach: Jay Gruden (5th year)

OC: Matt Cavanaugh (2nd year)

DC: Greg Manusky (2nd year)

Key Position Week 1 Starters (Projected):

QB: Alex Smith

WR: Josh Doctson, Jamison Crowder, Paul Richardson

RB1: Derrius Guice (rookie)

TE: Jordan Reed

Key Player Changes:

Lost Kirk Cousins; added Alex Smith

Drafted Derrius Guice 59th overall, signed Paul Richardson

Added Orlando Scandrick

Strength of Schedule:

23rd

Schedule Break-down:

Favored in four games

Favored by a max of 3 points, underdog of 6 or more in 4 games

Redskins play 6 top 10 opponents and 5 bottom 10 opponents

Season win total:

Over 7 +105 / Under 7 -125

Doc’s Pick:

Over 7 +105

I’m buying the Redskins this year. I think Alex Smith is better than he was able to show in KC and if Guice can deliver they will have a balanced offensive attack. Their average opponent defensive efficiency rank this year is 22nd which should allow them to put some points on the board and the average opponent offensive efficiency rank is 15th so if their defense can keep them in games I think they will be able to upset several teams this year. I think they win nine.

 

Check this out if you want to know where Doc gets his information from and what he’s looking at.

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